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Quarterly Sectoral Forecasts

Our latest view on the outlook for the Northern Ireland economy, including forecasts of output and employment growth for the main sectors in Northern Ireland

Conor Lambe

Economic growth is expected to remain relatively modest in both Northern Ireland and the wider UK. Business taxes are higher, inflation is running above target and uncertainty around fiscal tightening is increasing. Alongside these domestic factors, uncertainty related to global trade policy and geopolitical developments remains elevated. However, we continue to expect further gradual loosening of monetary policy which could provide some support to household spending and business investment.

Conor Lambe - Chief Economist

Read the full report below:

Q3 2025 report

NI Economaic growth forecasts
UK Economic growth forecasts
UK Inflation
Northern Ireland employee jobs growth
NI Unemployment Rate
Unemployment Rate UK

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