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Quarterly Sectoral Forecasts

Our latest view on the outlook for the Northern Ireland economy, including forecasts of output and employment growth for the main sectors in Northern Ireland

Conor Lambe

Economic growth in both Northern Ireland and the UK is forecast to remain sluggish. Inflation is projected to remain above target in 2026, higher taxes are likely to constrain activity and ongoing uncertainty will likely continue to weigh on the economy. However, we expect the gradual loosening of monetary policy to continue, which should provide some support to consumer spending and business investment, while higher government spending is also likely to contribute to economic growth.

Conor Lambe - Chief Economist

Read the full report below:

Q4 2025 report

Q4_25_Quarterly_Eco_Growth_NI
Q4_25_Quarterly_Eco_Growth_UK
Q4_25_Quarterly_UK_Inflation
Q4_25_Quarterly_NI_Employee_Growth
Q4_25_NI_Unemployment
Q4_25_UK_Unemployment

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